Auros ([info]auros) wrote,
@ 2008-01-29 12:49:00
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Current mood: intrigued

An interesting fiscal policy idea...
Andrew Samwick, a quite conservative (but sane) economist, has suggested that the federal gov't should start planning out its infrastructure capital investment over a period of several years, much as it already does for large defense purchases. (Big defense purchases, like naval vessels, are paid for over a period of several years; IIRC the defense budget can schedule expenses as far out as four years from the fiscal year officially being planned for.) Then it could easily empower a fiscal agency similar to the Federal Reserve to tweak the scheduling of those projects, creating instant hiring (boost aggregate demand) with the benefit of investment in infrastructure (boost aggregate supply) to provide economic stimulus when needed, without the kind of delays and policy arguments we're seeing currently. The agency could also force delays when the economy was already booming, both to help bring the budget into balance, and to help prevent inflation and the kind of "overheating" that allows money to flow into asset bubbles.

It's an interesting thought. And, it turns out, something just a little bit like it has been proposed by Senators Dodd (D-CT) and Hagel (R-NE). Their version is a federal infrastructure bank, which would essentially use monetary policy to influence fiscal policy, by infusing money into infrastructure projects (increasing gov't debt to spend on the infrastructure and associated jobs -- just like directly buying the projects would) when the economy looked like it could use a boost.



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[info]arcticelf
2008-01-30 01:50 pm UTC (link)
Hmm. That makes sense on paper, and I'm not sure what the current system is, so I'm not sure what we're comparing it to.

That said: how does it go wrong? How can it be gamed for political gains?

AE

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[info]auros
2008-01-30 08:28 pm UTC (link)
Well, the obvious avenue of gaming is trying to move what currently exist as "earmarks" -- individual small, not particularly useful "infrastructure" projects (the Foo Bar Baz Memorial Bridge to Nowhere) -- into a process that's more complex and opaque. We'd need some pretty strong transparency rules about who requested what (we have that now in the budgeting process, thanks largely to Barack Obama) and about any financial ties of the people directing the bank or scheduling agency.

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